KOL Market Map
The KOL Market Map shows you where 128+ tracked traders stand on BTC — bullish, bearish, or neutral — with their relative weights. Updated daily around 02:00 UTC.
Channel: #market-map (free)
What it looks like
Section titled “What it looks like”Long-Term Market Consensus (62 KOLs):
- Tracked: 62 | Bullish: 38 | Bearish: 14 | Neutral: 10
Short-Term BTC Consensus (66 KOLs):
- Weighted bull score: +0.64
- Weighted bear score: -0.18
Whale Discretion Map:
- HTF Bias: Bullish
- STF Bias: Bullish
- Overall Read: Strong bullish lean
- Notable: 5 KOLs flipped from bearish → bullish in last 24h
How KOLs are weighted
Section titled “How KOLs are weighted”Not every trader counts equally. The scoring uses time-decay weighting:
| Time since call | Weight |
|---|---|
| < 6 hours | 1.00 |
| 6–12 hours | 0.85 |
| 12–24 hours | 0.70 |
| 24–48 hours | 0.50 |
| 48–72 hours | 0.25 |
| > 72 hours | 0.00 |
Conviction multiplier: Strong = 1.0, Medium = 0.75, Weak = 0.5
This means recent, high-conviction calls from active traders dominate the consensus. Stale calls fade out automatically.
Reading the map
Section titled “Reading the map”Strong consensus (70%+ one direction) — Most traders agree. Trade with the consensus but watch for crowded positioning.
Moderate consensus (55–70%) — Healthy conviction with some disagreement. Usually the best risk/reward.
Split (45–55%) — The market is undecided. These are often no-trade zones.
Divergence between timeframes — When long-term and short-term groups disagree, expect choppy action. The macro group usually wins on a multi-day horizon.
Using it with other channels
Section titled “Using it with other channels”The Market Map is a context tool, not a standalone signal:
- Map bullish + Composite bullish → High conviction setup
- Map bullish but Composite neutral → KOLs may be early; wait for structure
- Map split → Stay cautious regardless of other signals